Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $53.1K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 5¢ · pays 21×
Price gap
Polymarket5¢
→OU's fair5¢
Confidence
Moderate
Recent ISW assessments from June 2 indicate that Russian forces are focusing on drone and missile strikes rather than the rapid ground advances needed to capture this location.
Off market consensus
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