Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES26¢ (26%)
NO74¢ (74%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.6K • Updated 6h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 74¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Polymarket74¢
→OU's fair75¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Russian forces initiated offensive operations toward Kupiansk in late 2024 but the city remains under Ukrainian control as of mid-2026 with significant defensive lines in place.
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