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Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES21¢ (21%)
NO79¢ (79%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-09-30
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 79¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Polymarket79¢
OU's fair85¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Ukrainian military officials reported that Russian attempts to reach Orikhiv by May 31 2026 have already failed despite increased assault activity in the sector.

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