Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES12¢ (12%)
NO88¢ (88%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.2K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-07-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 89¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket89¢
→OU's fair89¢
Confidence
Low
Wikipedia reports that Russian forces captured Serhiivka on August 7 of the previous year during the Pokrovsk offensive.
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