Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $293.8K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2027-03-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 86¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket86¢
→OU's fair88¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Russian forces have failed to capture Sumy since the 2022 invasion and current ISW assessments show no significant Russian territorial gains within the city limits.
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