Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES32¢ (32%)
NO68¢ (68%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $38.8K • Updated 23m agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (5d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 68¢ · pays 1.5×
Price gap
Polymarket68¢
→OU's fair88¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent ISW reports indicate that Russia suffered a net loss of territory in the region during the spring of 2026 and lacks the momentum to capture new settlements by May 31.
Wide edge+20¢
Closes in5d 18h
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