Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6K • Updated 19m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 14¢ · pays 7.4×
Price gap
Polymarket14¢
→OU's fair15¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 7.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Tesla has not revealed a third version of the robot as of April 2026 and the criteria require a general public release which typically follows years of internal testing.
Off market consensus
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