Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES92¢ (92%)
NO8¢ (8%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $169.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 92¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket92¢
→OU's fair98¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Constitutional mandates and official schedules from Ballotpedia and Wikipedia confirm the midterm elections are set for November 3 2026 without any credible threats to delay.
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