Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $48M • Updated 51m agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 2¢ · pays 44×
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→OU's fair5¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 44×
Confidence
Low
The Iranian regime maintains a fierce security apparatus and lacks a unified national opposition capable of forcing a collapse within the next four weeks.
High volume$478k
Off market consensus
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