Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES12¢ (12%)
NO88¢ (88%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $18.8M • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 89¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket89¢
→OU's fair92¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Low
The Iranian regime has maintained power for decades without a leadership transition and lacks immediate indicators of imminent collapse before the 2027 deadline.
High volume$97k
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