Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $22.1K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 1¢ · pays 80×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair15¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 80×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent reports indicate the Sudanese Armed Forces have regained control of Khartoum and the RSF has withdrawn from the city center.
Wide edge+14¢
Off market consensus
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