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Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
June 30★ BEST69¢
June 1350¢
June 518¢
June 21¢
May 310¢
May 220¢
May 150¢
Polymarket • Volume: $255K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (30d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · June 30
at 69¢
Price gap
Polymarket69¢
→
OU's fair89¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate

Search results indicate the Senate passed a budget resolution on April 23 and a reconciliation bill regarding ICE funding is already moving through the legislative process.

Wide edge+20¢
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