Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $57.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 10¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Polymarket10¢
→OU's fair30¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
A search snippet confirms that the United States captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro on January 3 2026.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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