Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $27K • Updated 23m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 4¢ · pays 26×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair5¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 26×
Confidence
Moderate
While snippets suggest regional tensions and a 2026 intervention in Venezuela there is no evidence of a military offensive intended to establish control over Colombian territory.
Off market consensus
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