Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $165.1K • Updated 39m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 4¢ · pays 23×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair5¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 23×
Confidence
Moderate
Official statements from both nations emphasize cooperation over military intervention despite escalating rhetoric regarding border security and cartel activity.
High volume$31k
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.