Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES12¢ (12%)
NO88¢ (88%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $99K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 88¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket88¢
→OU's fair95¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent hostilities and the appointment of Switzerland as a protecting power indicate that diplomatic relations remain severed despite other nations reopening embassies.
High volume$17k
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.