Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES77¢ (77%)
NO23¢ (23%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $28.3K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-08-15
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 24¢ · pays 4.3×
Price gap
Polymarket24¢
→OU's fair24¢
Confidence
Low
Lula is the incumbent president and the central figure of the Workers Party despite typical procedural risks and health concerns associated with his age.
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.