Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $155.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 11¢ · pays 9.0×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
→OU's fair35¢
+24¢ underpriced · pays 9.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Trump explicitly stated opposition to recognizing Somaliland despite Israel's recent decision to establish diplomatic ties with the region.
Wide edge+24¢
Off market consensus
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