Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1M • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 7¢ · pays 15×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair8¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 15×
Confidence
Moderate
Congress enacted a law in 2023 that explicitly prohibits the President from withdrawing the United States from NATO without a two-thirds Senate vote or an Act of Congress.
Off market consensus
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