Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $342.5K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 97¢ · pays 1.0×
Price gap
Polymarket97¢
→OU's fair99¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Constitutional requirements for statehood and explicit rejection by Venezuelan leadership make annexation within the 2026 timeframe a legal and political impossibility.
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