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Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $57.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
OU's fair81¢
Confidence
Low

Wisconsin is a highly competitive swing state where recent gubernatorial elections have been decided by narrow margins and the incumbent Democrat is term-limited in 2026.

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