Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES71¢ (71%)
NO29¢ (29%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.9K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-08-14
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 30¢ · pays 3.4×
Price gap
Polymarket30¢
→OU's fair45¢
+15¢ underpriced · pays 3.4×
Confidence
Moderate
President Hakainde Hichilema has secured the United Party for National Development ticket for the upcoming August 2026 election and maintains the advantage of incumbency.
Wide edge+15¢
Off market consensus
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