OVER / UNDER
Science & Technology

Science & Technology

poly-0x1fc6ebc7c289f9 OVERPRICEDPM108.4K

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

YES 29¢ (29%)NO 71¢ (71%)
poly-0x05854770e1cb36 FAIRLY PRICEDPM106.3K

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

YES 9¢ (9%)NO 91¢ (91%)
poly-0x8993fe75e5079e OVERPRICEDPM105.2K

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

YES 96¢ (96%)NO 4¢ (4%)
which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30 FAIRLY PRICEDPM102K

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

Dallas 67¢Las Vegas 6¢New York City 3¢
poly-0xcdbf64cb434d13 FAIRLY PRICEDPM98.8K

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

YES 39¢ (39%)NO 61¢ (61%)
base-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch OVERPRICEDPM98.4K

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$8B 33¢$10B 28¢
KXOAIHARDWARE-27 FAIRLY PRICEDKL91.9K

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Earbuds/Headph 34¢Clip-on device 25¢Phone 19¢+7
gpt-5pt6-released-by FAIRLY PRICEDPM89.3K

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31 92¢June 30 88¢June 15 64¢+3
KXBESTLLMCHINA-27 OVERPRICEDKL84.8K

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

YES 15¢ (15%)NO 85¢ (85%)
KXLLM1-26MAY30 OVERPRICEDKL76K

Best AI this week?

Claude 97¢ChatGPT 1¢Gemini 0¢+5